Corporate Transformation Management PT
Apply Icon

Forecasting Methods & Scenario Techniques

level of course unit

2. Semester Master: 1st Study cycle

Learning outcomes of course unit

The students:
• understand the relevance of scenario techniques in the context of corporate planning in volatile times
• know different methods of scenario techniques and are able to assess their applicability in practice
• are able to apply individual methods of scenario techniques
• know qualitative forecasting methods and are able to apply them practically

prerequisites and co-requisites

2. Semester: no information

course contents

Part A - Forecasting Methods:
• Overview of different forecasting methods
• Simple quantitative methods (especially time series analysis and causal methods, e.g. trend extrapolation or linear regression)
• Qualitative methods (e.g. Delphi method)

Part B - Scenario techniques:
• Overview of different scenario techniques
• Application options and examples

recommended or required reading

Backhaus, Klaus et al. (2011) Multivariate Analysemethoden, Heidelberg
Faschingbauer, M.(2013) Effectuation – Wie erfolgreiche Unternehmer denken, entscheiden und handeln, Stuttgart.
Hassani, B. (2016) Scenario analysis in risk management: Theory and practice in finance, Wiesbaden.
Martelli, A. (2014) Model of scenario building and planning: Facing uncertainty and complexity, London.
Romeike, F.& Spitzner, J. (2013) Von Szenarioanalyse bis Wargaming: Betriebswirtschaftliche Simulationen im Praxiseinsatz, Weinheim.
Tetlock, P. & Gardner, D.(2016) Superforecasting, die Kunst der richtigen Prognose, Frankfurt.

assessment methods and criteria

• Module exam (Data Analytics & Business Modeling, Risk Management & Monitoring, Forecasting Methods & Scenario Techniques, Mergers & Acquisitions)
• Online questions

language of instruction


number of ECTS credits allocated


eLearning quota in percent


course-hours-per-week (chw)


planned learning activities and teaching methods

• Blended Learning

semester/trimester when the course unit is delivered


name of lecturer(s)

Thilo Grundmann

year of study


recommended optional program components


course unit code


type of course unit

integrated lecture

mode of delivery


work placement(s)



Situm Mario
Prof. (FH) DDr. Mario Situm, MBA
Director of Studies
+43 5372 71819 147
questions -  Any
Any questions -
We are here to help you.
+43 5372 71819 500

Internationales Symposium Restrukturierung

Jährlich findet das „Internationale Symposium Restrukturierung“ an der Fachhochschule Kufstein Tirol statt.

Restrukturierungs- und Turnaround-Management

Handbuch für die Praxis:
Restrukturierungs- und Turnaround-Management, 2. Auflage, Exler (Hrsg.)

Mehr Infos:

Restrukturierungs-Qualitätssiegel für Kufsteiner Masterstudiengang

Der berufsbegleitende Masterstudiengang Unternehmensrestrukturierung & -sanierung ist nach einjähriger Begutachtung offiziell TMA-zertifiziert – das renommierte Qualitätssiegel des Verbandes der deutschen Restrukturierungsexperten (TMA).

Weitere Informationen